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The stock market recently witnessed dramatic turbulence as the excitement around speculative trading, particularly among retail investors, has led to a tumultuous sell-offThe catalyst for this upheaval was a statement made by Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang at the CES Technology Conference in Las Vegas, where he suggested that the advent of practical quantum computing might still be 20 years awayThis remark triggered a significant downturn in quantum computing stocks, with Rigetti Computing Incplummeting by an astounding 45.41% and IonQ Incdeclining by 39%. The volatility did not stop there; two stocks even experienced drops as high as 50% within the same trading day, marking an unprecedented day in market history.
Such vast declines did not just restrict themselves to quantum computing but spilled over into various other sectorsQuantum Computing Incfound itself in a freefall too, with shares dropping a staggering 43.34%. Many retail investors, facing the intense pressure of margin calls, resorted to panic-selling their positions
This wave of anxiety spread like wildfire, affecting other previously high-flying speculative stocks as well.
Market analysts have been dissecting this phenomenonFarzin Azarm, Managing Director at Mizuho Securities USA, highlights the risky behavior of retail investors during market highsHe explains that during bullish phases, many investors are drawn to leverage techniques that can magnify gainsHowever, this leverage has a dark side; it also amplifies losses when the market takes a downward turn.
Thomas Peterffy, founder and chairman of Interactive Brokers Group, pointed out at a Goldman Sachs conference that margin loans on their platform had seen a rise of 16% over the last three months, further exacerbating the current market volatilityAzarm termed the day of the crash as a “liquidation day” for retail investors—many of whom had been heavily investing in highly speculative stocks that were now facing forced sell-offs.
The FTSE-Russell U.S
Short Sell Index also reflected this turmoil, falling more than 5%, marking the worst start to a year since the viral “MEME stock” craze of 2021. This sell-off frenzy extended its reach into other industries, affecting renewable energy stocks and even prominent names in the autonomous driving sectorFor instance, NANO Nuclear Energy Incsaw its shares dip by 11.24% while NuScale Power Corpexperienced a drop of 9.30%.
Among lower-tier stocks, the carnage was even more pronouncedXTI Aerospace Incsaw its share price plummet by a shocking 55.74%, falling to just 5 cents per share after a gain of 30% just a day priorAzarm noted that retail investors have been particularly active in the market, constituting a whopping 55% of trading activity on U.Sexchanges over the past two weeksThe Nasdaq Composite hit a trading volume of nearly 14 billion shares on Tuesday, reaching levels not seen since 1995. This staggering volume underscores the fervor driving the current speculative landscape.
Last year's soaring prices of heavily shorted stocks, such as Him & Hers Inc., SEALSQ Corp., and Enovix Corp., have seen sharp declines this week, suggesting a broader market correction may be underway
Julian Klymochko, CEO of Accelerate Investment, remarked on the "tremendous speculation" that kept these fundamentally weak stocks elevated, referring to them as “unprofitable junk stocks.”
Overall, the three major U.Sindexes — S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones Industrial Average — have been trending downward this weekThe S&P 500's diverse sectors reflect growing concerns about the overall economic outlook, while the Nasdaq has struggled particularly due to sell-offs in technology stocksEven the traditionally stable blue-chip stocks within the Dow Jones have not been able to avoid this downturnInterestingly, the yield on 10-year U.STreasury notes has risen, indicating heightened risk-averse sentiment among investorsThis shift suggests that while retail investors initially seemed unfazed by rising interest rates, the implications of these changes have begun to manifest more prominently.
Interactive Brokers’ chief strategist Steve Sosnick stated, “While rising interest rates have certainly altered the overall risk-reward calculus in the market, they did not have an immediate effect on the valuations and performance of speculative quantum stocks.”
The situation remains fluid